TURNING POINT

Wednesday 30, 2026 1:34 PM By Best Bets

If you haven’t been paying attention, now’s a good time to start.

The Turnbull, highlight of Saturday’s racing at Flemington, has produced five of the past nine Cox Plate winners, four of the past seven Melbourne Cup winners and four of the past six Caulfield Cup winners.

In 2024 and 2025 it produced the full treble, though one of those six future major winners was hard to spot.

It’s not always the Turnbull winner who’s bound for glory, though winning it doesn’t hurt.

Winx completed the Turnbull/Cox Plate double in 2017 and 2018, as did Via Sistina in 2024. Verry Elleegant (2020) and Incentivise (2021) won the Turnbull and the Caulfield Cup.

The Caulfield Cup winners to emerge from the Turnbull in the past two years both ran fourth ― Duke De Sessa in 2024 and Half Yours last year.

Three of the four Melbourne Cup winners in question were beaten less than three lengths in the Turnbull: Vow And Declare (fourth in 2019), Gold Trip (fifth in 2022) and Half Yours.

The other, Knight’s Choice, finished 16th of 16, beaten 12.58 lengths, in the 2024 Turnbull.

The Turnbull is unique among Melbourne Group 1s in that it’s run at set weights and penalties, with the penalties based on wins in black-type and big-money races since August 1, 2025.

The full 4kg penalty has been carried to victory five times this century, by Northerly (2002), Zipping (2010), Winx (2017), Winx (2018) and Via Sistina (2024).

Sir Delius, who won last year’s Turnbull with 58kg, will have to carry the full 59kg on Saturday.

Meanwhile, this Saturday’s Randwick meeting ― specifically, the Premiere Stakes ― has produced four of the nine Everest winners: Redzel (2018), Classique Legend (2020), Think About It (2023) and Bella Nipotina (2024). All four finished top-five in the Premiere.